How Would a US Debt Default Affect Social Security? (2024)

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Should the U.S. enter into a debt default, many government programs, including Social Security disability benefits, could be impacted.

Unfortunately for Social Security benefit recipients, U.S. debt default could indefinitely pause monthly payments. The threat of a U.S. debt default depends on whether or not Congress pays the country’s debt and raises the current debt ceiling. Should Social Security benefits be paused, millions of Americans could be affected, as many rely on monthly payments as their primary income source. Though trust funds are in place to support Social Security payments to recipients in the event of a debt default, they could be depleted if the United States enters into a debt default.

To get a free assessment of your case from Young, Marr, Mallis & Associates, call our Pennsylvania disability lawyers today at (215) 515-2954 or (609) 557-308.

How Could a US Debt Default Affect Social Security Payments?

When borrowers fail to meet payments, they could default on their debt. This can even happen to the United States government, which could, in turn, impact Social Security payments to recipients.

Certain Social Security programs could be affected if the U.S. enters into a debt default. Without the necessary funds to provide benefits to recipients, monthly payments could halt for an undetermined period of time, depending on the situation.

The U.S. has a debt ceiling that is set by Congress. The U.S. recently met its debt ceiling in January of 2023, meaning the possibility of it entering a debt default is impending unless Congress raises the debt ceiling. As of May 2023, the current issue preventing the debt ceiling from being raised and preventing the U.S. from paying certain outstanding debts revolves around Social Security. Some legislators in the United States wish for Social Security benefits to be reevaluated and possibly reduced, which could lower or eliminate certain Social Security benefits for some Americans. Social Security benefits, and the U.S. and global economies, could be greatly impacted should the United States enter into a debt default. This could mean that millions of people might lose their jobs as a result of a debt default, in addition to many losing Social Security benefits.

While it might seem as though the United States deals with a debt crisis on an annual basis, the threat to Social Security benefits is relatively high at the current time. It is important that Social Security benefit recipients confer with our Philadelphia disability lawyers to understand whether or not their benefits will be in jeopardy and learn how to prepare for a possible pause to monthly payments.

How Many Social Security Benefit Recipients Could Be Affected by a US Debt Default?

If the U.S. enters into a debt default and Social Security payments stop temporarily, millions of benefit recipients, including you, could be affected if they rely on Social Security payments to support themselves and their families.

According to the Social Security Administration’s (SSA) most recent data, over 9.2 million people in the United States received SSDI benefits in2021. In December of that same year, payments equated to over $11.9 billion in total, which shows the sheer economic support Social Security benefits provide to disabled workers in America.

Social Security Disability Insurance benefits are not the only benefits available to Americans in need. Millions of people receive Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits, which are available to those with qualifying disabilities and demonstrate financial need. According to the SSA,57%of people receiving SSI benefits in the U.S. have no other income, meaning a debt default could leave millions of SSI recipients without any financial support whatsoever.

Perhaps the largest portion of Social Security benefit recipients in the U.S. are retirees. When you reach retirement age, you can be eligible to receive retirement Social Security benefits to provide you with some income in the latter part of your life. Nearly70million people received Social Security benefits of some kind in 2019, so if the U.S. enters into debt default and halts Social Security payments, a large portion of the U.S. population could be seriously impacted.

What Protections Are in Place to Prevent a US Debt Default from Affecting Social Security Payments?

There are two Social Security trust funds in the U.S. that could enable benefit recipients to continue getting monthly payments for some time, despite a possible debt default in the United States. They are the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund and the Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund. That said, these trust funds might only be a temporary solution to a debt default.

Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund

The OASI Trust Fund is a reserve that provides Social Security benefits to retirees and survivors of deceased workers in the United States. In 2022, the net reserves of the OASI Trust Fund decreased by millions of dollars, somewhat due to the ongoing crisis of COVID-19. At the end of 2022, the OASI Trust Fund’s asset reserves equated to about $2,711.899 billion. Considering the sheer number of retirement benefit recipients in the United States, the OASI Trust Fund might be depleted relatively quickly if a debt default occurs.

Disability Insurance Trust Fund

The Disability Insurance Trust Fund’s holdings are considerably lower than that of the OASI Trust Fund. While the DI Trust Fund’s asset reserves increased in 2022 by $18,594 million, the net asset reserves at the end of the year were about $118,000 million. While this can seem like a large amount of money dedicated to SSDI and SSI recipients, considering the fact that millions of people get these benefits every month, the DI Trust Fund might only be able to support disability benefit payments to Americans for a short time if the U.S. enters into a debt default.

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To have our Quakertown disability lawyers evaluate your case for free, call Young, Marr, Mallis & at (215) 515-2954 or (609) 557-308.

How Would a US Debt Default Affect Social Security? (2024)

FAQs

How Would a US Debt Default Affect Social Security? ›

Certain Social Security programs could be affected if the U.S. enters into a debt default. Without the necessary funds to provide benefits to recipients, monthly payments could halt for an undetermined period of time, depending on the situation. The U.S. has a debt ceiling that is set by Congress.

What happens to my Social Security if the government defaults? ›

She added that the Treasury might reduce the payments — maybe to 50% or 75% of what's been promised. “It could take both approaches. Which one it takes depends on what executive branch officials decide, and they will likely prioritize creditors and recipients of entitlement programs,” Erkulwater said.

What is the safest place for money if the US defaults on debt? ›

Money market accounts are worth considering as well; they're FDIC-insured, and combine features of checking and savings accounts. U.S. government securities—such as Treasury notes, bills, and bonds—have historically been considered extremely safe because the U.S. government has never defaulted on its debt.

Will we get our Social Security checks in June? ›

June 12: Social Security payments for people with birthdays falling between the first and 10th of any given month. June 18: Social Security payments for people with birthdays falling between the 11th and 20th of any given month.

How to prepare for US default? ›

Tried and true basics. "We're advising people to prepare for a potential default as you would for an impending recession," says Anna Helhoski of NerdWallet. That means tamping down on excess spending, making a budget, and shoring up emergency savings to cover at least three months of living expenses.

Can you lose your Social Security payments? ›

A few situations can cause you to lose your monthly Social Security benefits, some of which might be beyond your control. In certain cases, such as income, it might be worth losing some benefits to earn more money. The type of benefits you're receiving also matters, which we'll explain below.

Is Social Security guaranteed by the government? ›

The Social Security trust funds hold money not needed in the current year to pay benefits and administrative costs and, by law, invest it in special Treasury bonds that are guaranteed by the U.S. Government.

What is the $16728 Social Security bonus? ›

Have you heard about the Social Security $16,728 yearly bonus? There's really no “bonus” that retirees can collect. The Social Security Administration (SSA) uses a specific formula based on your lifetime earnings to determine your benefit amount.

At what age is Social Security no longer taxed? ›

Social Security tax FAQs

Social Security income can be taxable no matter how old you are. It all depends on whether your total combined income exceeds a certain level set for your filing status. You may have heard that Social Security income is not taxed after age 70; this is false.

Who qualifies for an extra $144 added to their Social Security? ›

You must be enrolled in Original Medicare and pay your Part B premiums without state or local financial aid to be eligible for the giveback. Only some Medicare Advantage Plans offer this benefit, and in select service areas.

What are the odds of the US default? ›

The default probability reached 4.2 percent then. Before the news of a snag in negotiations on Friday, it hovered around 3.6 percent. That's a huge increase since January, when the default probability was near zero.

What happens to my money if the US defaults? ›

The debt ceiling can also affect your finances by potentially causing increased interest rates, market volatility and economic uncertainty, which could lead to higher borrowing costs, impact investments and potentially affect job security and economic stability.

What to buy if the US defaults on debt? ›

Gold and other precious metals have traditionally been viewed as safe haven investments during times of economic turmoil,” he says. “If the debt ceiling is not raised and the government defaults on its debt obligations, investors may turn to gold and other precious metals to protect their wealth.”

How much does the federal government owe the Social Security fund? ›

As of December 2022 (estimated), the intragovernmental debt was $6.18 trillion of the $31.4 trillion national debt. Of this $6.18 trillion, $2.7 trillion is an obligation to the Social Security Administration.

What can cause Social Security payments to stop? ›

Although payments are terminated for death and medical recovery, suspension of payments is common, particularly for financial reasons. Payments may be suspended because the recipient has excess earnings, excess unearned income, excess resources, or a change in living arrangements.

What happens to Social Security in a recession? ›

In the unfavorable event that your income is cut or lowered during a recession, it could lead to a lower monthly Social Security benefit in retirement. Social Security calculates your benefits by taking a percentage of your average income during the 35 years when your earnings were highest (adjusted for inflation).

Which president borrowed from the Social Security Fund? ›

Since 1983, every US President has borrowed from Social Security to pay for government expenditures. However, there is no evidence that any of the presidents has stolen a dime from Social Security.

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